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Saturday, 20 June 2026 · Morning editionLondon ⛅ 18°CGBP/USD 1.3233 · GBP/EUR 1.1540About UsOur TeamSourcesContactNewsletter

Long Range Weather Forecast

HomeWeatherLong Range Weather Forecast

Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 16 June 2026 by the ScopePress weather desk. Data from national met services via Open-Meteo.

☁️18°C
OvercastLondonFeels like 19° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 83%
UV 4 ModerateSunrise 04:43Sunset 21:21
Today☁️26°18°💧16%
Sun☁️31°21°💧6%
Mon☁️28°19°💧12%
Tue⛈️35°20°💧14%
Wed⛈️34°25°💧4%
Thu⛈️32°21°💧0%
Fri⛈️31°24°💧12%
Sat⛈️28°23°💧27%
Sun🌦️29°19°💧27%
Mon🌦️24°18°💧29%
Tue☁️24°16°💧24%
Wed☁️23°16°💧27%
Thu⛈️19°15°💧25%
Fri🌦️19°14°💧29%

Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·

The live forecast above covers the next week for London. For longer outlooks, the Met Office’s 30-day trend suggests a spell of settled conditions from late April, with daytime highs likely 2–3°C above the seasonal average across southern Britain.

What does the Met Office long range forecast say?

Their UK outlook for the 30 day period shows a 60% probability of above-average temperatures, especially in the south and east. Rainfall is expected to be near normal, though northwestern areas may see slightly drier conditions. This is based on ensemble model data updated twice weekly.

How reliable are these 30-day forecasts?

Accuracy drops significantly beyond 10–14 days. The Met Office rates its long range forecast as “indicative” rather than detailed. For the best long range weather forecast UK, combine the Met Office 30-day outlook with the 10 Day Weather Forecast UK for day-to-day planning. The BBC Weather UK also publishes a 30 day weather forecast UK based on ECMWF data.

IssuedTwice weekly (Mon & Thu)
Lead timeUp to 30 days ahead
Accuracy (day 15)~60–65% for temperature
Best sourceMet Office & BBC Weather combined
How far ahead can the Met Office forecast?

The standard public forecast covers 7 days. Their long range weather forecast 30 days is a trend-based outlook; beyond that, seasonal forecasts give only broad probability. For the met office long range weather forecast 14 days, check their website directly.

Is there a reliable 30 day forecast for the UK?

No single provider guarantees day-to-day accuracy after two weeks. The best approach is to use the long range weather forecast near london or Manchester as a trend guide, then check the Weather Radar UK for immediate conditions.

What is the difference between a long range forecast and a weather warning?

A long range forecast (e.g. 30 day long range weather forecast met office) shows general trends. A Moderate Rainfall Warning is issued when specific hazardous weather is likely within 48–72 hours, with higher confidence.